Kampala propaganda organs begin to lay ground to blame Rwanda, once Museveni’s Congo adventure fails

Uganda People's Defence Forces (UPDF) troops are seen on the Mbau-Kamango road in the Beni district on December 8, 2021. - On November 30, the Ugandan air force and artillery shelled areas in Ituri and North Kivu, Congolese provinces bordering Uganda, where bases of the ADF (Allied Democratic Forces), a group accused by Kampala to be responsible for recent attacks on its soil claimed by the jihadist organization Islamic State. These Ugandan rebels have been established since 1995 in the east of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where they have established themselves. They are considered the deadliest of the armed groups raging in the region, responsible for the massacre of thousands of civilians. (Photo by Sébastien KITSA MUSAYI / AFP)

The Commandonepost website, one of the propaganda outlets of Ugandan Military Intelligence, CMI, has this Wednesday published an incendiary piece of fiction alleging that “Kagame is deploying special forces units in eastern DRC to support ADF terrorists.”

Commandonepost, showing nothing to back its allegations, claims: “the Rwandan Defense Force, RDF, is slowly deploying special forces platoons into DRC territories and towns bordering Rwanda, where they (RDF) will conduct raids.”

This elaborate piece of CMI fiction insinuates that RDF will conduct these raids as a false flag operation – to allegedly blame the FDLR-FOCA rebel group for the raids on Rwanda’s border. Therefore, Commandonepost further insinuates that, “this will give Rwanda the pretext to launch a bigger force into DRC, claiming to pursue the FDLR-FOCA attackers based in DRC.”   

According to CMI’s fiction writer, Rwanda’s ultimate aim is for RDF “to attack the UPDF forces in Congo, and then Rwanda will blame ADF!”

The Commandonepost piece includes the usual CMI-concocted smears that “Kigali works with ADF’ (presumably meaning RDF will attack UPDF positions in Congo together with the ADF rebels).

The whole lying article reeks of one thing: panic and failure.

Museveni’s invasion in DRC has already failed, and he is looking for a scapegoat.

As with every security-related problem that Museveni faces – those that he directly authors, or those that happen because of his incompetence – the scapegoat is always Rwanda.      

Currently the Kampala security establishment is in panic mode. Their plans after the invasion of DRC are unraveling. UPDF promised they would “flush out ADF in lightening strikes.” Instead when UPDF troops entered, the first thing that happened was to get stuck in impassable roads, from Mukakati to Semliki bridge.

So UPDF said they would bring in machines to upgrade the road.

This is where everyone began to see that the Ugandan military was completely unprepared for their alleged fight with ADF. People were asking: how could they fail to know the roads in Congo were impassable? How could they expect heavy transport trucks to use those roads?

“Now UPDF has brought graders, as of the ADF will sit around, waiting for them to complete the roads and come shoot them!” social media commentators were laughing their heads off.

The UPDF ineptitude was already on full display when they bombarded jungles and forests with their fighter jets, their heavy artillery, and attack helicopters, all which are for use in confrontation with conventional forces, not small bands of highly mobile rebel, or terrorist fighters.

This straight away showed that their concept of operation was already very flawed, according to experts in military matters.

Uganda in fact was using DRC as a testing ground for its weapons, but talking of “flushing out ADF.”

More than two weeks later, the UPDF force is still stuck due to difficult terrain.

“You can be sure that by now they have started sleeping with local women and making babies,” laughed a security observer familiar with the habits of Museveni’s army.

Sources tell us that let alone failing to plan for difficult, impassable roads and terrain, the UPDF neither had replenishment plans for food, water, and other supplies.

“They are stuck, and it is not difficult to see why CMI is starting to publish stories, so that when everything begins to unravel Rwanda takes the blame. It is their usual scapegoating game,” commented our source, adding “they planned to fail, and that is already happening!”  

The current failure is part of a pattern that everyone who knows Museveni’s ways of doing things will be long familiar with.

Museveni will promise to build roads and other infrastructural projects, which he never does.

“President Museveni even promised to build a market in Juba (South Sudan), which has never been completed,” said Hassan Kaps Fungaroo, a Ugandan MP during a recent talk show on NTV, a television broadcaster in Kampala. 

In the run-up to the DRC invasion Museveni has been making a lot of promises about building roads there. But, one can be certain, there will be no Ugandan-built road in DRC.

Most characteristic of Museveni’s invasions of other countries is that he only ever is looking for moneymaking opportunities.

The UPDF usually is a vanguard of looting and plunder.

If Museveni sends them to invade South Sudan, DRC, or even to peace-keeping operations in places like Somalia, the first thing they will be looking for is opportunities to steal; to cut down other people’s trees to haul the timber away; to take over whatever artisanal mining activities they find locals doing, and so on.

But things do not seem to have gone as they planned with their most recent invasion. It has turned into a farce.

The Kinshasa leadership probably is demanding accountability, for Uganda to show there is no more ADF in eastern DRC.

Yet there is never any real intention by Museveni to eradicate ADF. It is a group he works with, and uses for his purposes, most recently as the pretext to invade DRC, according to a seasoned analyst of the Great Lakes Region.

In Kigali, sources advise CMI that instead of trying to drag Rwanda into yet another mess by Kampala, it would do well to stick to the truth, as that would serve Museveni better. Rwanda has shown it has security and strategic interests, but seeks no confrontation with anyone.

“However if CMI’s propaganda and lies were to ever lead to Ugandan forces crossing certain red lines, Rwanda is more than capable of defending its interests,” our source remarked.

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